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I’ll try to answer as best I can. If I have missed one of your questions, I most humbly apologize.
Comparing your continuous still to an air still feels a bit wrong to me. It’s like comparing a drip coffee maker to an espresso machine. Yes, they both make coffee, but they are very different things. Primarily in the level of automation and lack of control, or conversely in the complexity if you do give the user much control. Also, I’m not convinced that the air still is all that good for the hobby in general. I have a feeling that it’s not large enough to be practical, which makes getting any appreciable quantity (or quality) out of it will be a lesson in frustration. I see a corollary here with photography. Point and shoot cameras increased the number of photographs taken, but I don’t think they did much for the hobby of serious photography. While some photographers could and did use them to good effect, they just weren’t good enough or versatile enough to give a new user a real feel or appreciation for the hobby.
The Chinese stills are somewhat different in my opinion. Yes, they’re cheap, and riddled with problems, but they’re also just large enough and just good enough to give someone a real taste for the hobby. In the photography analogy, they’re more akin to the inexpensive knockoff plastic SLRs or viewfinder cameras that at least gave someone a little control over what was going on, and felt more like the real thing.
I may be misunderstanding your goal here. As I understood it, the idea was to make a black box that you feed sugar and water into and get alcohol out of. Now I’m wondering if you’re thinking of something else. Perhaps with a lot more user controls which will allow configuration, while handling all the difficult bits automatically. I’m not certain that would really be desirable to many people, since if you want that control there are better and simpler, or at least cheaper, ways to get it. But I freely admit that I am generally dissatisfied with automation, and prefer manual controls. Manual transmission cars, all manual cameras, tools that just do the job I bought them for and don’t try to think for me. While I won’t go into what I do for a living, I will say that automation is a major bone of contention and a constant frustration in my industry, and anyone with any skill or knowledge of the subject agrees that it’s not even close to what a decently trained human can achieve with ease.
Regarding price, I once dug into the possibility of manufacturing a small run of items for another hobby. What I learned was that what I could build for myself for $100, I could not manufacture for less than $500 unless I scaled up to many thousands of units, if not millions. Making one of a thing is easy. Making one million of a thing is also easy. Making one hundred of a thing is a nasty spot in the middle that’s not at all easy, which means it’s not cheap. I readily admit that you could have far more knowledge on that subject than I do, and that the numbers you’ve given could represent real world prices. I’m also skeptical, because I’m old enough to have seen a lot of niche market things made by hobbyists which someone confidently said they could sell for $X, but which actually ended up selling for closer to $10X, if at all. Looking at things like espresso machines, which I would guess have similar levels of complexity and materials cost, they seem to be several times the prices you’ve mentioned, and they have the advantage of a much larger market. With all that said, I would be very impressed to see such a machine on the market for ~$200, and might even consider one myself for the sheer novelty of it.
I believe that you are getting good results with very simple ingredients, and see no need to force a user to use anything predetermined. However, remember who you’re aiming this product at. They can and will do something egregious, like filling it with honey, maple syrup, or even oatmeal and corn in an attempt to make whiskey. Whereas with the air still, they make zero attempt to be involved with the fermentation, you’re talking about a device which does. Therefore, unless you have some way of controlling what goes into the machine, there’s no telling what’s going to happen inside it. That could definitely be interesting, but it’s not something I’d want to deal with as a manufacturer, retailer, or technician. While you are getting good results with your recipe, how confident are you that I could get the same results? I might have different sugar, it’s likely that I have different yeast, and I am almost guaranteed to have different water chemistry. In my still, I can correct for that at every step. In fact, it happens by default. If you don’t account for those variables, then you’ll have to control what goes into the machine in order to have any control over what comes out.
You compared your two bottles a day output to the potential maximum that my small pot still can make. Without knowing how your machine works, I don’t know how good it would be at running at 1/4 capacity, or 1/10 even. With a batch process such as I and most hobbyists use, that’s trivial. If I want to make less, I just don’t ferment as much. But if you have a continuous process, how much are you able to slow it down without having problems?
I don’t want to seem overly negative or dismissive. As I’ve said before, it’s a really fascinating idea on a purely technical level. I just have a hard time believing that this is a viable product, even if it would be a neat one. Maybe I’m wasting your time with things you’ve already figured out, and I’m just too skeptical. But I’d like to think that something I have to say has a modicum of merit, and if nothing else it leads you prevent a problem that you might otherwise have had. I’ll leave you with a favorite saying of my father. “The trouble with making anything foolproof is that fools are so damned ingenious!” Remember that the more automated a tool is, the more success depends on the user using it in the right way, and the less thought they’re likely to give to how they’re using it. It’s automatic, after all.Steve, you’re way behind time. This is not 38, but it’s old 97. You must put her into Spencer on time. |
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